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August Market Update 2024

Market Update

August Market Update 2024

Home Prices Continue To Rise Over The Summer

 
Nationally, in June, prices rose for the fifth month in a row, reaching all-time highs. Typically, home prices begin to fall in July, but this year was different and prices continued to rise. This makes July the 13th consecutive month of year-over-year price growth and August is well on its way to continue the trend for another month.
 
The average 30-year mortgage rate declined for the third month, falling to 6.78%, a 0.44% drop from the 2024 high reached in early May. The Fed is poised to start cutting rates in September, which tends to be around the time the housing market starts to slow before the holidays.
 
A further decline in rates will please both buyers and sellers. The cost of financing the median home in June 2024 has increased 83% compared to June 2021, even though the sticker price of the median home is only up 16%. However, let’s say you bought the median home in June 2021 with 20% down, and then in June 2024, both sold your old median price home and bought the June 2024 median price home, your mortgage would only go up 55% rather than 83% because of the $60,000 price appreciation, which would bring you to ~30% equity in the new home. To be clear, 55% is still a lot, but it’s better than 83%. If rates continue to go down, more sellers may be willing to make a move, allowing more inventory to come to the market.
 

The Local Lowdown

In the East Bay, low inventory and high demand have more than offset the downward price pressure from higher mortgage rates. Prices in the East Bay generally haven’t experienced larger drops due to higher mortgage rates, and in fact, prices are slightly below peak levels in many areas. Homes coming under contract rose significantly as well, up 4.9%, indicating that sales may increase again in August. Prices typically peak in the summer months, so we don’t expect new all-time highs for the rest of this year.
 
As always, Arrive Real Estate Group remains committed to helping our clients achieve their current and future real estate goals. Our team of experienced professionals are happy to discuss the information we’ve shared in this newsletter. We welcome you to contact us with any questions about the current market or to request an evaluation of your home.

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