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March Market Update 2025

Market Update

March Market Update 2025
Affordability continues to be an issue nationwide, making the dream of homeownership difficult to achieve for countless people around the country. Unfortunately, this issue looks like it will persist throughout 2025. Mortgage rates remain comparatively high, and home prices largely have not given back their pandemic-era gains. But fortunately for the market, there are plenty of new homes hitting the market. More and more people are giving up on the thought that we will see lower interest rates in the short term, causing them to list their homes. This has resulted in a 4.21% increase of inventory on a year-over-year basis and an 8.15% increase on a month-over-month basis. Although a turn-key property will still likely end up in a bidding war, no matter if it’s in Kansas City or Calabasas, this increase in inventory could mean that there are some deals to be had on listings that sit on the market for a few weeks.
 

Local Lowdown

Median sales prices are stagnating throughout the East Bay
Although we saw some considerable year-over-year growth in median sale prices around this time last year in the East Bay, we’re not seeing that same growth right now. Instead, prices are stagnating a bit, with the median single-family home in both Alameda and Contra Costa counties being sold for roughly the same price that it was being sold for at this time last year.
 
One likely reason for the stagnation in median sale prices throughout the East Bay is that inventory levels jumped by a considerable margin in February. We saw a 16.82% increase in the number of active listings compared to January and a 40.17% increase compared to February of last year. This level of inventory was not seen until April/May of last year. This suggests that people are ready to move, and they’re not letting interest rates play into their decision to sell or stay put. If we continue to see unprecedented increases in inventory like the one we saw last month, prices could start to decrease as inventory sits on the market. However, for now, the inventory is still moving, and the number of sold listings in the East Bay increased by 2% year-over-year and 35.55% month-over-month.
 
Despite the drastic increase in supply that we saw last month, the single-family home market remains a strong sellers’ market within the East Bay, with Alameda County having just 1.6 months' worth of supply and Contra Costa County having just 1.8 months of supply.
 
As always, Arrive Real Estate Group remains committed to helping our clients achieve their current and future real estate goals. Our team of experienced professionals are happy to discuss the information we’ve shared in this newsletter. We welcome you to contact us with any questions about the current market or to request an evaluation of your home.

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