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May Market Update 2025

Market Update

May Market Update 2025

Inventory levels explode while existing home sales decline slightly

Although we’re still at the point in the season where inventories are supposed to build, March data has shown inventories have increased by nearly 20% on a year-over-year basis, showing that people are hesitant to purchase a new home. Additionally, while inventories have been increasing, the number of existing homes being sold is 2.43% lower than they were last year. Across the country, people are becoming more uncertain of whether or not they should move to a new home, and that is very clearly showing!
 
As you might have expected, there was a considerable increase in the number of listings that have hit the market. For a few months in a row, we have seen high single/low double-digit percentage growth in the number of new listings hitting the market in the US. This is likely due to the fact that the people who were holding out for the return of lower interest rates are losing hope and listing their homes anyway.
 
On the bright side, mortgage rates have continued their slow descent, with the average interest rate on a 30-year mortgage in March coming in at around 6.63%, down roughly a quarter point from the year prior. As you might expect, the median monthly P&I payment ticked down slightly, and the median sale price ticked up slightly to match this move. As we have discussed in prior months, the Fed is in no rush to lower interest rates anytime soon. However, they do see a not-so-distant future where rates may be a good bit lower. When you combine this with the fact that inventories are building at a rapid rate, and the number of units being sold has fallen slightly, this could represent a fantastic buying opportunity!
 

The Local Lowdown

In April, we saw some pretty sharp declines in terms of the median sales price throughout the East Bay, with the median home selling for 3.21% and 4.31% less than this time last year in Alameda County and Contra Costa County, respectively. We also saw a massive amount of inventory added, without many listings being sold. There was a 7.47% increase in new single-family homes hitting the market, whereas there were 12.21% fewer single-family homes sold. When you couple this with the inventory trends that we’ve been seeing over the past few months, that leaves us with 43.69% more active single-family home listings than this time last year! Inventories have been building in the East Bay, while demand has been stagnant, the market is tipping in favor of buyers.
 
As always, Arrive Real Estate Group remains committed to helping our clients achieve their current and future real estate goals. Our team of experienced professionals are happy to discuss the information we’ve shared in this newsletter. We welcome you to contact us with any questions about the current market or to request an evaluation of your home.

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