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Housing Market Forecasts for the Remainder of 2025

Market Update

Housing Market Forecasts for the Remainder of 2025

If you’ve been watching the market, you’ve likely noticed things have shifted this year. But what’s next? From home prices to mortgage rates, here’s what the latest expert forecasts suggest for the rest of 2025 – and what these shifts could mean for you.

Will Home Prices Fall?

Many buyers are hoping home prices will come down soon. And recent headlines about prices dipping in some areas are making some people believe it’s just a matter of time before there’s a bigger drop. But here are the facts.

While home price growth is slowing down, that doesn’t mean we’re headed for a crash. As experts say, even with the slowdown, prices will still rise this year at the national level. The average of eight leading forecasters (FannieMae, Cotality, HPES, Wells Fargo, MBA, NAR, Refin, and Zillow) shows prices are expected to go up 1.5-2% in 2025. That means, if you’re waiting for a major drop, experts agree that’s just not in the cards.

Keep in mind, while some markets are already seeing prices come down slightly, the average dip is just -3.5%. That’s a far cry from the nearly 20% decline the market experienced during the 2008 crash.

Plus, those small changes are easily absorbed when you consider how much home prices have climbed over the past few years. Data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) shows prices are up 55% nationally compared to just 5 years ago. Prices aren’t crashing. They’re expected to keep climbing – just not as quickly these days. 

Will Mortgage Rates Come Down?

Another common thought among today’s buyers is: I’m just going to wait for rates to come down. But is that a smart strategy? According to Yahoo Finance:

“If you’re looking for a substantial interest rate drop in 2025, you’ll likely be left waiting. The latest news from the Federal Reserve and other key economic data point toward steady mortgage rates on par with what we see today.”

In other words, don’t try to time the market or wait for a drop that may not be coming. Most experts say rates will remain in the 6s, and current projections have them settling in the mid-6% range by the end of this year. That’s not a big change from where they are right now. 

Bottom Line

Whether you’re buying, selling, or thinking about doing both, this market requires strategy, not guesswork. Prices are still rising nationally (just more slowly), and rates are projected to stay pretty much where they are, so the bigger picture is one of moderation – not a meltdown. If you want to make a move, your best bet is to focus on your situation – not what the headlines say – and work with a real estate pro at Arrive Real Estate Group who knows how to navigate the shifting conditions in your local market.

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