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July Market Update 2025

Market Update

July Market Update 2025
 
As we all know, housing affordability has been a problem on a national scale for quite a few years at this point, and unfortunately, things have not gotten much better. Median home sale prices have increased by 1.34% on a year-over-year basis. Mortgage rates have somewhat stabilized, and the levels they’ve stabilized at are quite a bit higher than recent historical averages. Although the Fed has not touched the federal funds rate in nearly a year, the Fed chairman has signaled that one to two rate cuts are expected by the end of the year, so long as there aren’t any further spikes in inflation. Fewer homes are being sold, but at the same time, 9.95% more new listings have hit the market on a year-over-year basis.
 

Global Economic and Geopolitical Instability Are Making Both Buyers and Sellers More Cautious

In any market, but especially the real estate market, instability is incredibly detrimental. Given the recent rise in uncertainty around tariffs and employment, coupled with continued instability in Europe and the Middle East, both buyers and sellers have become much more cautious. Inventories are growing throughout California and the broader United States. However, for those who have the capital and a long time horizon, times like these can represent excellent buying opportunities, as good deals are easier to come by.
 

Local Lowdown

For quite a few months, we’ve seen median sale prices trailing where they were last year by a considerable amount. Inventory levels have reached a local peak, with levels just starting to decrease in the single-family market in June. The recent decline in inventory can largely be attributed to the number of new listings being added shrinking at a faster rate than demand.
 
It’s true, homes are spending quite a bit more time on the market when you look at year-over-year percentage changes. The average home is spending somewhere between 25% and 35% more time on the market compared to last year. However, many homes are still moving relatively quickly. The average Alameda County home spends just 15 days on the market, and the average Contra Costa County home spends 17 days on the market! While the months of inventory data slightly favors sellers, it certainly seems that buyers currently hold the negotiating power here locally.
 
As always, Arrive Real Estate Group remains committed to helping our clients achieve their current and future real estate goals. Our team of experienced professionals are happy to discuss the information we’ve shared in this newsletter. We welcome you to contact us with any questions about the current market or to request an evaluation of your home.

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