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November Market Update 2025

Market Update

November Market Update 2025
Housing payments have become slightly more affordable as interest rates tick down. In the Fed’s October FOMC meeting, they decided to cut the federal funds rate by another quarter point, making the overnight interest rate range between 3.75% and 4.00%. This led mortgage rates to fall in unison, which is great news for prospective buyers and recent buyers who made the bet that they would be able to refinance at a lower rate sooner rather than later. However, we might have another rate cut ahead of us, as CME’s FedWatch predicts a 65% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in the Fed’s December meeting.
 
With interest rates dropping, median monthly P&I payments are on the decline as well. This, of course, is great for new buyers who are in the market for a home. If we see an influx of new buyers, there is the possibility that we might see a less stagnant market when the springtime rush comes in early 2026. Unfortunately, interest rates are still much too high for many people who locked in rates in the 2-3% range to justify moving to a new home and taking on a considerably higher mortgage payment each month. We likely won’t see these homes/homeowners enter the market until rates come down substantially more than they already have.
 

Local Lowdown

 
Once again, things were more or less business as usual in the single-family home market locally this month. The median sale price increased by 2.00% in Alameda County, and decreased by 0.81% in Contra Costa County. Although these are drastic year-over-year decreases, the market is overall fairly stable, with homes holding their value in the band they’ve created for themselves over the past 8-10 months.
 
In the single-family markets, listings are sitting on the market for quite a bit longer than they did around this time last year. The average single-family home in Alameda County saw a 7.14% increase in days on market on a year-over-year basis, which seems like a lot. However, these listings still move relatively quickly, with the average listing sold in 15 days. Contra Costa County single-family homes spend an average of 20 days on the market, representing a 33.33% increase year-over-year.
 
As always, Arrive Real Estate Group remains committed to helping our clients achieve their current and future real estate goals. Our team of experienced professionals are happy to discuss the information we’ve shared in this newsletter. We welcome you to contact us with any questions about the current market or to request an evaluation of your home.

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